{"id":48550,"date":"2024-03-26T06:35:35","date_gmt":"2024-03-26T06:35:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/errante.com\/?p=48550"},"modified":"2024-03-26T06:37:13","modified_gmt":"2024-03-26T06:37:13","slug":"the-week-ahead-25th-29th-march-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/errante.com\/ru\/newsroom\/the-week-ahead-25th-29th-march-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"The Week Ahead: 25th \u2013 29th March 2024\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-overview-for-the-week-ahead-nbsp\"><strong>Overview for the Week Ahead<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Highlights of the Week\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>US consumer confidence and inflation numbers to dictate bets on an H1 2024 Fed rate cut.<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Inflation numbers from Australia and Japan could influence the RBA and BoJ\u2019s policy goals.<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Central bank commentary warrants investor attention after the latest round of interest rate decisions.<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The headline event for the week will be the US Core PCE data (the Fed\u2019s preferred measure for inflation) but given that it is released on Good Friday at 14:30 GMT+2, the response to this release could be minimal. The market consensus at the time of writing indicates we will see a slight softening in the MoM print: a rise of +0.3% in February from +0.4% in January, while the YoY release (also for February) is expected to rise +2.8%, matching January. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the headline level, PCE data (MoM) is anticipated to show a slight increase of +0.4% in February from January\u2019s +0.3% reading, along with the YoY print expected to also show a marginal increase from +2.4% to +2.5%. You will recall that the FOMC meeting wrapped up last week, leaving the benchmark lending rate at 5.25%-5.50% for a fifth consecutive meeting (this is the highest rate in more than two decades). &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Although a no-change was widely expected, the latest Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) revealed that Fed officials continue to foresee three rate cuts this year (there was speculation of a potential downshift to two rate cuts, given the latest batch of inflation numbers). The March economic projections also revealed an upward revision in Core PCE inflation for 2024 from 2.4% (December 2023 projection) to 2.6%, though FOMC participants were unchanged in their projections for 2025 and 2026 at 2.2% and 2.0% (the Fed\u2019s inflation target), respectively.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fed Chair Powell is on the calendar to speak on Friday.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For the AUD, consumer sentiment numbers for March will draw interest on Tuesday. A pullback in consumer confidence could support bets on an RBA rate cut. However, investors must consider the sub-components, including sentiment toward the economy and time to buy a major household item.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The CPI Monthly Indicator (Wed) and Australian retail sales figures for February (Thurs) will impact the&nbsp;Aussie dollar. Tighter labor market conditions and a pickup in consumer spending could fuel demand-driven inflation. However, consumer price trends need consideration.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In March, the RBA delivered a less hawkish stance on monetary policy. However, a jump in household spending could change the narrative.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Other than this, it is a relatively quiet week.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Have your trading charts ready this week!<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-this-week-s-high-impact-events-nbsp\"><strong>This Week\u2019s High Impact Events<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The times below are GMT +2.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Monday 25<\/strong><strong><sup>th<\/sup><\/strong><strong> March<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>No High Impact Events<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tuesday 26<\/strong><strong><sup>th<\/sup><\/strong><strong> March<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>16.00 \u2013 US \u2013 Consumer Confidence<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Potential instruments to Trade: USD Crosses.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Wednesday 27<\/strong><strong><sup>th<\/sup><\/strong><strong> March<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>02.30 \u2013 Australia \u2013 CPI y\/y<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Potential instruments to Trade: AUD Crosses.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Thursday 28<\/strong><strong><sup>th<\/sup><\/strong><strong> March<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>12.00 \u2013 US&nbsp;\u2013 FOMC Member Waller Speaks<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Potential instruments to Trade: USD Crosses.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>14.30 \u2013 Canada \u2013 GDP m\/m<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Potential instruments to Trade: CAD Crosses.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>14.30 \u2013 US \u2013 Final GDP q\/q, Unemployment Claims<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Potential instruments to Trade: USD Crosses.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>16.00 \u2013 US \u2013 Pending Home Sales m\/m, Revised UoM Inflation Sentiment<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Potential instruments to Trade: USD Crosses.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Friday 29<\/strong><strong><sup>th<\/sup><\/strong><strong> March<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>14.30 \u2013 US \u2013 Core PCE Price Index m\/m<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Potential instruments to Trade: USD Crosses.\u202f&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>17.30 \u2013 US \u2013 Fed Chair Powell Speaks<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Potential instruments to Trade: USD Crosses.\u202f\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you have any questions or require any assistance, please contact one of our support team members via our Live Chat or email&nbsp;<a href=\"mailto:support@errante.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">support@errante.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We are&nbsp;<strong>Errante. Trading made personal<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Errante is regulated by the Seychelles Financial Services Authority (FSA) under license number [<a href=\"https:\/\/fsaseychelles.sc\/search-business\/errante-securities-seychelles-limited\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">SD038<\/a>].<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To find out more about Errante, visit&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/errante.com\/ru\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/errante.com\/<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Overview for the Week Ahead&nbsp; Highlights of the Week\u00a0 The headline event for the week will be the US Core PCE data (the Fed\u2019s preferred measure for inflation) but given that it is released on Good Friday at 14:30 GMT+2, the response to this release could be minimal. The market consensus at the time of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":48564,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[60,442],"tags":[19075,93,15698,4355,1478,2268,95,1658,23255,15553,18916,18365,23256,23257,4904],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.6 (Yoast SEO v22.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Week Ahead: 25th \u2013 29th March 2024\u00a0 | Errante<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Week Ahead: 25th \u2013 29th March 2024. There are lots of trading opportunities this week. 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